On Wednesday, September12, 2012 from 12:30-1:30pm, in Maxcy 124
The College of Business is hosting a talk by
Dr. Kevin Mongeon
Of the Department of Economics and the Department of Sports Management
Of the University of New Haven
Kevin’s professional and scholarly work - is on the hockey version of sabermetrics.
Sabermetrics, popularized by Michael Lewis’ book: Moneyball (and the
recent movie) – is all about the quantitative appraisal of baseball
skills. Reliance on statistics to inform decision-making instead of the
`old-school’ subjective appraisals of talent, skills
and other elements of the game revolutionized baseball. The same
sabermetrics-grounded methods are exerting its influence in all other
sports – hockey being an especially fertile area.
Here are three articles on Kevin and hockey metrics:
The Globe and Mail: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/hockey/the-moneypuck-revolution/article2178766/
The New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/22/sports/hockey/flying-fists-dont-add-up-to-victories.html?_r=1
The Edmonton Journal: http://blogs.edmontonjournal.com/2011/11/04/what-will-come-after-corsi-plusminus-heres-one-promising-new-plusminus-system/
The paper Dr. Mongeon is presenting on Wednesday is titled:
“Economics and Existence of Rationally Biased Officiating”
Abstract
A
stochastic decision model motivates an innovative econometric
identification strategy that provides evidence that
referees exhibit explicit forms of penalty calling “biases”. However,
this behavior is interpreted as rational in the context of both
supplying game characteristics demanded by fans and favorable to
leagues, and for self-preservation. Penalty calling favors
home teams while attempting to keep games close and balancing penalty
calls between competing teams in order to promote a perception of
fairness. Short of constraining referees to act irrationally or leagues
countering their own self-interest, bias mitigation
through separating the officiating industry from league ownership is one
policy option.
A light lunch will be served
For more information: dfraioli@newhaven.edu
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